One of United Kingdom’s top corona virus advisors whose directive led to the global lock-down to forestall COVID-19 has come up with another declaration.
He envisages that the worst part of the virus would have been over by Easter, and has said so to the government.
Easter in the Christian calendar marks the resurrection of Jesus Christ from the dead, and is believed by Christians to be a season of the miraculous.
It is the season that Professor Neil Ferguson of the Imperial College London, has picked as ending the worse with COVID-19.
Amidst fears over a lack of intensive care beds and staff going off sick, he also told Members of Parliament (MPs) he was confident the health service would remain ‘within capacity’.
But the CEO of NHS Providers, which represents hospitals around the country, warned medics are already facing a ‘continuous tsunami’ of patients and that the ‘explosion’ of cases was bigger than they had expected.
Reports monitored from Mail online said Deputy chief medical officer Dr Jenny Harries agreed yesterday that she hoped the peak of the virus could be finished by Easter.
By implication, despite that the coming days were expected to challenging, but the there was light at the end of the tunnel and normality could begin to return in summer.
It chimes with predictions made earlier this month by one disease expert who predicted Easter would mark the height of the first wave and the virus would return in the autumn.
The UK’s deputy chief medical officer, Dr Jenny Harries, said in a Q&A on Mumsnet that the current surging numbers of cases should have come under control by Easter, which falls on the weekend of April 10.
She said: ‘What we hope is that in about two to three weeks, if people have continued to do as we have asked, and cut down their social interactions, we would start to see a change in the slope of the graph, she reportedly said.
‘That means the peak will be pushed forward, but the height of it will be lower and we can manage all those who need hospital and health care safely through our NHS.’
Dr Harries’ comments suggest the fast increase in new daily coronavirus patients, which is happening now, could start to plateau as the spread of it is slowed by people staying at home.
In the past week at least 6,903 new cases of the coronavirus have been diagnosed in the UK.
By comparison, the week before saw 2,170.
Because almost all the tests are being done in hospitals the majority of these people are needing medical care and rapid increases put extra strain on the hospitals.
Reducing the number of new cases each week – even if it means the overall number is bigger in the long run – will make it easier for the NHS to cope, and this is what the Government is trying to achieve by forcing people to stay at home.
But there is still a backlog of already-infected people that will descend on hospitals in the coming days.