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Trump Sets Pace In Key States Against Biden Ahead Of US Presidential Election
According to recent polling from The New York Times and Siena College, among registered voters in four significant swing states, former president Donald Trump had an advantage over President Joe Biden in a series of fictitious matchups.
The margin of sampling error for each poll ranges from 4.4 to 4.8 points, and the head-to-head showdown is only theoretical because primary voting doesn’t start until the next year. Trump continues to lead the Republican field by a wide margin, while Biden is strongly predicted to win the Democratic nominee. Last month, Biden faced opposition from Minnesota Representative Dean Phillips in the primary.
The most recent polling from battleground states highlights the significant obstacles that Biden’s reelection campaign faces, such as poor job approval ratings and doubts about his maturity and capacity to lead the nation. The poll numbers for Biden are particularly noteworthy in light of Trump’s growing legal issues. There are four indictments totaling 91 criminal accusations against the former president. To every charge, he has entered a not guilty plea.
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Biden campaign spokesman Kevin Munoz downplayed the polling in a statement Sunday, telling CNN: “Predictions more than a year out tend to look a little different a year later.”
“Coming off those historic (2022) midterms, President Biden’s campaign is hard at work reaching and mobilizing our diverse, winning coalition of voters one year out on the choice between our winning, popular agenda and MAGA Republicans’ unpopular extremism. We’ll win in 2024 by putting our heads down and doing the work, not by fretting about a poll,” Munoz said.
In Pennsylvania, a state Trump won in 2016 but Biden recaptured in 2020, Trump is at 48% to Biden’s 44%.
One Pennsylvania voter the Times spoke with, who supported Biden in 2020 but now backs Trump, told the outlet: “The world is falling apart under Biden.”
With roughly a year until the general election, these polls, which were conducted by telephone from October 22 to November 3, capture only one snapshot of the electorate as it currently stands. But they show a broad sense of discontent.
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Across these battleground states, registered voters give Biden low job approval marks (38% approve), with just 19% describing the economy as excellent or good. At the same time, only 42% in these states rate Trump favorably, similar to Biden’s 41% favorability rating.
Registered voters in these six states give Trump the edge in trust over Biden to handle the economy, immigration, national security and the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, but trust Biden more on abortion, with a close split on handling democracy.